I always like to hear good news from the anyone-but-Obama front, don’t you?
This column by Josh Kraushaar at the National Journal reminds us of the tremendous upside we’re looking at REGARDLESS of who gets the GOP nomination.
And from my perspective, that’s what this is all about … booting Obama and securing solid majorities in both chambers of Congress. I’m still hoping for the RECONSIDER to materialize, and would be fine with a Gingrich surprise dash to the nomination. But I will campaign my heart out for ANY GOP presidential nominee next fall. And I believe that any candidate who owes his or her election in part to the foot soldiers in the Grizzly Coalition should be willing to be held accountable by that coalition. That’s something we can do, even if our preferred candidate doesn’t get in.
Here is Mr. Kraushaar’s take …
For conservative commentators concerned that this crop of Republican presidential candidates won’t spur a conservative revolution, think again. The likely Republican nominee—Mitt Romney—might not be in the mold of Ronald Reagan, but 2012 is shaping up to be a year when the GOP is positioned to enact a conservative counteroffensive. Republicans are in good position to sweep the presidency and Congress next November.
If Romney is the nominee, he’ll have a substantial war chest, plus assistance from outside groups, including the deep-pocketed American Crossroads. Given the Republican side’s intensity and the liberalized campaign finance rules post-Citizens United, it’s hard to imagine the GOP nominee struggling financially. For the president, his poll numbers matter more than his financial figures.
A newly-released USA Today/Gallup poll pegged the president’s job approval in the swing states at a meager 40 percent, with Republicans significantly more enthusiastic to vote than Democrats. Drill down to the most likely presidential voters, and the GOP advantage expands. News outlets are calling these states toss-ups, but state-by-state polling suggests Obama would lose most of them if the election was today. If Obama’s national job approval rating doesn’t climb to around 47 percent, that “toss-up” category could well bleed into traditionally Democratic states.
Republicans have put at least nine Democratic-held Senate seats squarely in play, while only two Republican-held seats are at serious risk of flipping. Factor in the president’s unpopularity and consider that a disproportionate number of races are taking place on Republican-friendly turf, and Republicans stand a decent chance of improving upon the 53 Senate seats they held after their 1994 revolution.
Romney is far from a movement conservative, but if conservatives’ goal is rolling back Obama’s policies, the ideological intensity of their standard-bearer may be less important than that of the candidates who will be sharing the ballot with him. If Romney is elected, there’s a good chance he’ll have a conservative cavalry under him eager to spur the types of changes not seen since President Reagan’s first term.
Read the whole thing here.