Guest Submission by Nancy Labonete
Mitt Romney has always been and still is very much distrusted by the Republican base but looking at the results of Iowa and NH, Mitt Romney proved that his network of support from the establishment and his endorsers is wide and deep. This is the same network that could deliver to him victories in SC and FL. But a sure winner in the establishment’s minds is far from a strong nominee that the base wants to face-off with Obama. Romney’s record is a bottomless-pit treasure trove for the Dems and the media . How much more spinning can he add to his flipflops and inauthenticity before the left turns his candiday into a full-blown mockery?
For the good of the country, Republicans should just let Romney win all four early caucus/primary states (Iowa, New Hampshire, South Carolina and Florida).
If Romney steamrolls his rivals in all four early states, it will give him a tremendous momentum that will be impossible for the other candidates to stop. It also solidifies his "inevitable" standing. Such a scenario speeds up two things to happen: (1) panic sets in and the earnest search to enlist a winning altenative to Romney begins, and (2) those in the sidelines or are being eyed as late-entrants will have to make their decision to either endorse Romney or get into the race themselves.
It is already Code Red for the GOP. The party is squandering its perfect chance to unseat an unpopular and incompetent incumbent yet the establishment is thrusting in our faces a chameleon presumptive nominee who can’t even win over the base. Mitt Romney’s weak and flawed character and record do not stand a chance against the Democrats’ Alinsky-rules of engagement. It is that simple. Romney is not the man to beat Barack Obama. Neither are the other current candidates. The man to take Obama to the mat is a woman, the same woman who recently stated that it isn’t too late to jump into the race, the same woman who speaks articulately and truthfully of issues and policies in a manner that is unaffected by party affiliation. That woman is former Alaska Governor Sarah Palin.
The contrast between Sarah Palin and Mitt Romney (and the other non-Romneys) could not be more stark. She unifies all the issues that are important to the voters and our country and presents a common sense vision on how to put America back on the right track. Her words are credible because she has a consistent and solid track record to back them up. Whether it is repealing Obamacare without apologies nor exceptions, job creations and fiscal restraints, fighting corruption, energy development, respecting the Constitution, protecting the unborn and defending the 2nd Amendment, she has never wavered her stance on these matters because she never loses sight of the goal: serving the interests of We the People.
If Romney wins all four early states, America then awaits Governor Palin’s next move. Would she endorse or would she throw her hat in the ring? A major announcement from her in February would give clarity and direction to her supporters still pining for her to be part of this election process.
If she endorses, her supporters will have to decide whether to follow her lead or not. I, for one, will be casting a protest vote and write her in. I live in a hopelessly, deeply blue state full of numbskulls oblivious to the high unemployment rate, the national $15 trillion debt and the President’s hypocrisies. Voting my conscience will be an easy decision for me.
If she decides to run, quite simply, it’s Game On!
Jumping into the race in early February will be the perfect time to do so. After the Florida primary on January 31, there would still be roughly 31 primaries and caucuses (including the territories’) with filing deadlines that have not yet passed or with no filing deadlines at all. Delegate-rich states will still be in play (Texas – March 6, New York and Pennsylvania – April 24 and California – June 5, to name a few). Sarah Palin could immediately jump in in the caucuses where write-ins are usually allowed. (Write-in rules, it is important to note, are not created equal. If a candidate’s name is not on the ballot and must pursue a write-in campaign, some states require that they file for candidacy for their write-in votes to be counted. In some states, candidates do not have to do anything for the write-in votes to count.). Getting in in February will give her enough time to win enough delegates to make it to the convention.
A four-state win by Romney only garners him a total of 95 delegates (IO – 13, NH – 7, SC – 25, FL – 50) which is only 8% of the needed majority of 1,142 delegates to bag the nomination. As clearly laid-out by Larry Sabato, by virtue of a much stretched-out Republican primary/caucus calendar, only 15% of the total 2,282 delegates would have been awarded before Super Tuesday (March 6). A brokered convention, this election cycle, is a realistic possibility rather than just wishful thinking talk in the shadows. It’s a long slog to the convention, which could be one reason why the other candidates might want to drag their campaigns on to a few more states.
Whether or not these active candidates rack up enough delegates to earn a spot at the convention, it does not change the fact that none of them has the resources, the background nor the fortitude to take the battle to Obama. As soon as the concerted attacks from the left begin, these candidates will fold. Eugene Robinson and Alan Colmes just recently showed us a preview of the sorts of attacks that the left would unleash on the eventual GOP nominee. When even dead babies are used in dirty political attacks, there simply is no line too decent nor sacred for the left to cross. The Republican Party is kidding itself, and risking the country’s future, to trust a "good enough" or "acceptable" GOP nominee to take on the Democratic machine. Even Romney’s personal wealth is chump change compared to the president’s trillion-dollar war chest. There is only one ANTIDOTE to the Democrats’ money might that only Sarah Palin has the proven power to bring into this contest – an enthusiastic base. It will be Obama’s Money versus People Power. Only Sarah Palin has the charisma and energy that stir the most passionate support of the GOP base and the Tea Party. Her mere presence was all that was needed for 8,000 – 10,000 people to brave the blustery weather in the middle of a Nevada desert. Romney in his biggest crowd yet drew about 600. A fire in the belly, the ability to speak for the masses, her genius to turn the corrupt mainstream media on its head, these are traits of a fighter that the voters want to fight for them and fight alongside with. No amount of money could buy the genuine zeal and energy that Sarah Palin’s supporters hold for her.
Florida primary, January 31st. For the non-Romneys (Gingrich, Santorum, Paul and Perry), this day will determine whether they pack up their bags and go home or chug along. For Sarah Palin’s supporters this might be the day when the real battle begins.