Some think that Ohio will decide the presidential election. Others are watching Florida or North Carolina or Wisconsin.
But if you really want to know who will win the White House in November, you should ask the Europeans. They aren’t eligible to vote, but they may well cast the deciding ballot — and for President Obama, it’s looking grim.
I took a break from American politics to spend a week across the Atlantic, where I worked as a correspondent for the Wall Street Journal in the 1990s. This wasn’t an ideal time for a European holiday: Germany and France are warring, and smaller European states are taking sides — while England sleeps.
Thankfully, it’s not a military conflict this time but an economic one. Yet Britons, and Europeans in general, find themselves in a familiar state of discord and denial. However they resolve their troubles, it will be bad news for Obama.