Steve ably covered the topline results of the latest poll showing Ted Cruz with a 10 point lead in Tuesday’s Texas Senate runoff election against Establishment candidate David Dewhurst. There was another nugget in the poll which is also quite interesting, via Aman Batheja at the Texas Tribune:
Another finding suggests former Alaska Gov. Sarah Palin has more clout among Texas Republicans than the state’s own governor. Likely runoff voters said they were were 31 percent more likely to vote for someone endorsed by Palin, while only 16 percent were more likely to cast a ballot for a candidate endorsed by Gov. Rick Perry, according to the poll. Another 35 percent said they were less likely to vote for a candidate endorsed by Perry.
Palin power indeed. Either that or more evidence of her irrelevance, heh.
Some words of caution are in order. Ted Cruz is not only running against David Dewhurst, but the entire apparatus of the Texas Republican Party. Team Dewhurst has a full court press underway today which they’ll carry through the end of the day tomorrow. Don’t underestimate the power of the Establishment to influence election results. Complacency is not an option. Let’s show the Establishment that money and power don’t always trump passion and principle. Support Ted Cruz by visiting his website here and making a donation. If you can, get out in the field for Cruz: drive people to the polls, knock on doors, wake the kids and phone the neighbors, send smoke signals — anything you can do helps.
I would also note that, while the numbers in PPP final poll are encouraging, let’s not forget PPP’s final poll in the infamous NY-23 race of November 2009. That would be the poll which indicated Doug Hoffman had a 17-point lead. We all know how that turned out. To be sure, polling data for statewide races has historically proven to be more accurate than for congressional districts. That said, at the end of the day, there’s only one poll that counts. That basic fact has to be kept front and center for the next 36 hours or so until the polls close. Snatching defeat from the jaws of victory is not an option.
(h/t Charles Bogue)