Categorized | Open Thread

Election Predictions

List your electoral college and popular vote predictions in this thread. There unfortunately won’t be a C4P prize.


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  • MaMcGriz

    You got it here first, folks.

    Reposted from today’s open thread:

    virginiagentleman1 7 hours ago
    Yawn. Just woke up from a nice nap. Is it Tuesday yet?

    BrianusBerkleianus 6 hours ago in reply to virginiagentleman1
    :-) !!

    MaMcGriz 6 hours ago in reply to virginiagentleman1
     Yes, it is in Telaviv, so I’ve called the election for Romney.

    How’s that for beating the Left at their own game?

    Mary Beth House 6 hours ago in reply to MaMcGriz
    Since it’s Tuesday in Tel Aviv, could you please contact someone there and ask them what the election results will be?

    IsraeliCojones 6 hours ago in reply to Mary Beth House
    85%-15% for Romney here.

    You’ll never beat us Joooooooooooos LOL!

    Mary Beth House 6 hours ago in reply to IsraeliCojones
    I’ll call it Bibi’s revenge! :P

    • Pete Petretich

      Bibi’s revenge, I like that…

    • Laddie_Blah_Blah

      Grizzlies are Jewish. Who knew?

  • Quiet_Righty

    52% to 48% for Mitt, who will get nearly 300 electoral votes.

    Also, Chris Matthews will weep on the air.

  • senator20526

    Tomorrow two things will happen…….Either Romney wins or C4P will officially start the Sarah2016 campaign…

    • Mary Beth House

      Not necessarily mutually exclusive.  :P

      • BrianusBerkleianus

        Amen, Mary Beth!!!!

      • IsraeliCojones


    • Right_Wingnut

      And I’ll be out until she announces her candidacy. I’m not spending another 2-3 years on speculation.

      • HuntingMoose

        the president is someone who is in control and Sarah has been in control since you know when.

        Romney is the proxy for 2012 but Sarah is already my president.

  • Mary Beth House

    52-53% for Mitt….

    Over 300EV.

  • Quiet_Righty

    Libs will overwhelm the country’s suicide hotlines.

  • badger_tom

    Electoral Vote:
    Obama 294
    Romney 244

    Popular Vote:
    Obama 49.8%
    Romney 49.2%
    Other 1

    • Elwanda Burrell

       badger_tom, I think you are probably right!!!

  • Right_Wingnut

    Romney 285 EV, Obama 253

    I have Romney winning WI, CO, OH, VA, and FL.

    Here’s my map.

    Popular vote: Romney 50%, Obama 47 and change.

  • Nancy6

    Obama’s gonna be sorely disappointed when he doesn’t get one vote from those 7 extra states he goes on about.

    Rachel Maddow will pull her face off to reveal she really IS Ron Reagan Jr.

    Chris Matthews will make a fool of himself. No matter what happens. It’s a certainty.

    And Obama will be totally embarrassed by Americans.

    • alien4palin

      "Chris Matthews will make a fool of himself. No matter what happens. It’s a certainty."

      N6, this one is an easy prediction. He is permanently a fool. LOL!!!

  • dmac8889

    The following Toss Ups go to Obama:  OH, Penn., NH, Wis, Mich. ending in 269 Electoral Votes      
    The following Toss Ups go to Romney:  Fla., Va., NC, Iowa, Colo., NV leads to 269 Electoral Votes

    We won’t know who won Ohio until December, at which time we find out Obama won a squeaker leading to the Electoral Tie, and thus sending the Presidential Contest to the House of Representatives, who at this time are moving towards Impeachment Hearings after the Senate learns that Obama gave the "STAND DOWN" order to rescue Ambassador Stevens in Benghazi.

    National Media screams that the fix was in from the beginning to get rid of Obama and all H@ll breaks loose.

    • Pete Petretich

      If the election goes to the House then the GOP wins.

      • dmac8889

        Pete, Yes but what will come first.  A Romney victory from the HOR, or Impeachment Hearings from the HOR.   Having a little fun.. I’m actually hoping Romney takes Penn. and then we wake up to a Romney victory on Wednesday morning.  Otherwise we will not know for at least a month and a nation screaming at each other worse than 2000.

    • Janna Blanter

      Florida has not been toss up for over 2 weeks now – noticed how few polls hav come out here?

  • Marc

    Copies of Nate Silver’s new book on scientific prediction will wind up at the nearest dollar store.

    And Romney 317 EV.

  • HuntingMoose


    forget the polls with their resampling in favor of Obama. Believe your own eyes and compare whereever you are with 2008.

    in 2008 Voter turnout was 62%, so 30% for McCain, 32% for Obama and 38% not voting.

    I am pretty sure that that 32% for Obama is smaller this time because more will stay home, the 30% for McCain will vote for Romney and of the 38% not voting last time, a very very large amount will come out and vote against Obama.

    LANDSLIDE. Period.

  • BrianusBerkleianus

    My fundamental and general prediction is that the Governor will be the big winner, for the cause of Sudden and Relentless Constitutional Reform, no matter who wins the Presidency today.

    But, for what they are worth, here are a few particular predictions:

    Mitt 310 or so EVs; 4-5% winning margin in popular vote.

    Senate 50-50 tie, to be broken by VP Paul Ryan.

    GOP small gains in House.

    God bless, All!!

    SARAH 2016!!!

    PALIN/WEST 2016!!!

  • Pete Petretich

    GOP sweep, Palin wins.

    As usual…

  • Pete Petretich

    Some racial rioting, because Dems play like that.

    There will also be noticeable Mormon pride.

  • wodiej

    5-7 points in popular vote for Romney.  300+ electoral votes.  Romney wins Wisconsin, Florida, Virginia, Ohio, Colorado.

  • Janna Blanter

    Romney 338  Obama 200

  • RedDaveR

    I’m going to say Romney 289, Obama 249.  Romney takes NC, FL, VA, CO, OH, WI, NH.

    Popular vote:  Romney 49.7    Obama  48.9

  • Kalena

    I pretty much think we looking at the 2004 map, with a possibility that WI, PA and MI surprise some folks.  I am on the edge of my seat over the Senate races.  We need to depose Harry Reid from setting the "non" agenda.  We need to repeal Obamacare.

  • Gelston

    deleted by gelston

  • Gelston

    deleted by gelston

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