Categorized | Commentary/Editorial

Obama Won, Now What? – Devito





A week after the New York State primary, I wrote, "A Sign of Things to Come?" which prominently featured this billboard that the leftist owners of Manhattan Mini Storage posted on their West Street/9A and 44th Street storage facility for months. The article was negative toward Romney and his primary competitors, but that is not the point. I noticed a trend that could have proven fatal to Romney’s election: low voter turnout. In "Sign," I wrote about how Romney won New York State with less than 6% of the GOP base voting. Other states had similarly low turnouts. I concluded that poor turnout numbers in the general would result in Obama’s reelection. Unfortunately for us, that billboard became a self-fulfilling prophesy. Mitt Romney couldn’t beat Obama.

Why?

At least two articles suggest that poor turnout indeed was the death knell of the Romney campaign. Associated Press reporter Josh Lederman in Turnout shaping up to be lower than 2008, which was syndicated to the Kentucky Post, among others, said turnout in this 2012 general election – one so critical to the future of our country – was lower than in 2008. It gets worse. According to Lederman, the turnout was less than 2004 levels in many states! Conservatives4Palin‘s Editor Doug Brady expounded on how polling samples work and why turnout was fatal to Romney in: It’s the Turnout, Stupid!

"A comparison of 2008 election results and 2012 election results indicate Obama received about 9 million fewer votes yesterday than he did in 2008. But the data also indicate that the Romney-Ryan ticket received almost 2.3 million fewer votes nationally than the McCain-Palin ticket did in 2008. (Incidentally, that 2.3 million voter deficit is only marginally less than the number of votes by which Obama beat Romney in the popular vote.)," Brady wrote.

Brady wrote about how he listened to Rush Limbaugh yesterday while driving. I happened to also have been listening while driving between job sites. Limbaugh said this was a classic "turnout election." That is, Romney’s success or failure would be decided by voter turnout.

Unity

Gov. Palin did unite behind Romney and called upon her supporters to do likewise – multiple times. She supported him in no uncertain terms since June and our community – in the main – followed her lead. SarahPAC gave his campaign $5,000. Gov. Palin kept her support low-key and chose not to speak at the convention or brag about the donation. She said she "wanted to help, not hurt and helping sometimes means stepping aside." Many Palinistas, myself among them did step up to the plate, put our misgivings aside, and united behind the ticket. We made things very uncomfortable for those who refused, both in and out of our community.

But, Romney apparently did not close the deal with enough people to motivate their votes. Most Romney supporters were voting against Obama, and that is simply not a recipe for success. Was there voter fraud? There certainly were naked attempts at it in multiple venues that were well-publicized. But, Romney chose to concede the race and not pursue the matter of voter fraud. Whatever voter fraud did occur, Romney’s concession forever closes the book on voter fraud claims.

Christian Whiton, Fox News concluded that this election was a damning indictment of the Republican establishment and moderates such as Romney, Bush, McCain, and others. Whiton wrote, "Recovery begins with saying goodbye to this Beltway GOP establishment." Whiton wrote that Romney and the party establishment took the conservative base for granted. Sounds familiar?

Sarah 2016?

Gov. Palin’s brother, Chuck Heath, Jr. posted "Sarah 2016" on his Facebook Page today. I think I can safely speak for all Palinistas when I say we enthusiastically support her running and would do all we can do to help get her elected. I dare say, we’d go to Hell and back to get her elected. On that level, I share in Chuck Heath, Jr.’s support of his sister.

But, I am not at all comfortable in building and pushing a "Sarah 2016″ narrative that originates from anyone other than her. "Palin 2012″ was born November 4, 2008 when Obama got his last electoral vote. Almost immediately, we forgot the narrative was ours, not hers. When Gov. Palin announced she was not running, it devastated our community because we invested so much in "her" narrative that was never hers.

Yes, I think "Sarah 2016″ absolutely must originate from Sarah Palin, and absolutely must not originate from us. Certainly, the Obama win creates a circumstance far more favorable to a "Sarah 2016″ run than a Romney win would have. But, latching onto and pushing the "Sarah 2016″ narrative as our own could set ourselves up for more hurt and disappointment. We’ve been there, done it and even got the T shirt. Gov. Palin running in 2016 or any other cycle is her decision to make, not ours and no amount of encouraging, egging on, or trying to force the issue is going to change this fundamental fact. Also, things are little different now that we are established supporters as opposed to four years ago, when many of us were wet-behind-the-ears fanbois and girls. Gov. Palin knows the support is there – we don’t have to prove ourselves by screaming "Sarah 2016″ everywhere we go for the next three years.

I think "Sarah 2016″ and the onus for pursuing it or not rests with Gov. Palin. She’s got 20 years of experience in politics. She knows how to file FEC paperwork and organize a campaign. As seasoned veteran supporters, let’s defer to Gov. Palin’s professional judgment and wisdom on this. Let’s support what she is doing and how she does it and learn the lesson that 2012 should have taught us.

Bold Colors Candidates

Gov. Palin’s final endorsement success rate for 2012 is 64.28% based on nine out of 14 candidate having been elected for either a primary or the general (two endorsements were made after the primaries in their respective states).

In my numbers, I count Wisconsin Governor Scott Walker. Gov. Palin said she was not using the words "I endorse" for him, because she wanted to draw attention to his Lieutenant Governor, Rebecca Kleefisch. Gov. Palin, however, reaffirmed her staunch support of Gov. Walker and explained why she avoided the use of endorsement phraseology in reference to him. Those who insist Gov. Walker not be counted are free to use 13 as the number of endorsed candidates. Gov. Palin’s 2012 endorsement success numbers improve to 69.23% overall with 13 candidates counted as endorsed.

Of the nine successful endorsements, seven went on to win the general, resulting in an endorsement success rate of 77.77% for this subset. These winners did not just eke it out. They won by landslides. This is as much vindication of Gov. Palin’s Reagan Conservatism as Romney’s loss is a damning indictment of the establishment which must be consigned to history’s dustbin. Most politicians would kill for Gov. Palin’s endorsement success numbers: 64.28% (or 69.23% if you don’t count Gov. Walker) overall; and 77.77% of her primary winners going on to win a general.

The 2014 mid-term election cycle gives Gov. Palin another round in which to purge, cleanse, and rebuild via candidate endorsements. So does 2016 and the off-cycle elections in 2013 and 2015.

Let’s Build a New First Party…

During this time, we need to root out the party bosses at every level. We need to begin the war against Rule 12 in earnest.

We need to be better about sharing things on social media. Don’t ask! Just share! That’s what the leftists do. We need to push Facebook to fix their mobile setups and their smartphone apps to enable sharing. Our devices are crippled from effective sharing. We should be able to share on our iPhones/Droids just as we do on our desktops. Social media is about sharing, not just admiring our own musings.

We need to leave our comfort zones. We’ve been too myopic and preached way too much to the choir. Having the "best" Palin site, the Palin site with the most traffic, or being the "most famous Palin site" means nothing if the larger world does not read our content or even know we exist. We’re just kidding ourselves if we think we have the Internet all wrapped up. We don’t. Not in the least.

We need to stop wasting our time on mindless conspiracy theories of all stripes and the toxic debates that surround them.

We need to work more and complain less. How many among us called for Romney/Ryan? Put up a sign? Shared campaign material? Live-Tweeted campaign tweets during the debates? Convinced at least one person to vote the ticket? How many of us did these things for Gov. Palin’s Bold Colors candidates?

Obama’s win and our failure to retake the Senate is our call to arms. So what are we going to do?

The time to rebuild is now. You do not need a title to make a difference. Leadership is not about the position you hold. Leadership is about what you do.

"Let’s have a new first party – a Republican Party – raising a banner of bold colors – no pale pastels – a banner instantly recognizable as standing for certain values which will not be compromised."

-President Ronald Wilson Reagan,

1975 Address to Young Americans for Freedom

Let’s build that new First Party together…

Our work continues…



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  • http://www.facebook.com/people/Suki-Pero/100001668382968 Suki Pero

    Thanks for the good article, there is a lot of food for thought in this Devito.  There were many individuals here who said for months that Romney could not and would not carry the election if he was nominated.  Unfortunately, the republican party, true to form, did not listen.  The why does not matter, fool me once, fool me twice, but come on now – fool me thrice? 

    It is time to do what I believe SP has always advocated, stand up.  I believe she said the electorate was not ready at some point in the past.  It is not about her and about her deciding to run.  It is and always has been about the people.  Why should she run and be annihilated and eviscerated?  It is up to the electorate to put her in a position of power. (it is we who have failed to support her)

    Sorry, I don’t care about cleaning out the party bosses.  This party abandoned me after Reagan.  They’ve taken advantage of me, used me, counted on me and not listened to me.  It is time to face the music and not be the republican party’s whipping boy.  (hmmm, gee is there any difference between R and D?)  Let’s talk branding.  I think R is done.  I don’t want to be associated with that and as evidenced by the large number of independents out there, I’m not alone.  I say abandon the ship that sank a long time ago.  There needs to be a mass exodus to registered independents who start standing up and declaring their own mandate.  Let us call for a new party to be formed around, We The People.

    • Min Max

      It is time to do what I believe SP has always advocated, stand up.  I believe she said the electorate was not ready at some point in the past.  It is not about her and about her deciding to run.  It is and always has been about the people.  Why should she run and be annihilated and eviscerated?  It is up to the electorate to put her in a position of power. (it is we who have failed to support her)

      ———————————-

      AYE!

      • AyePatriot

        Did somebody call? :-)

        For what it’s worth – AYE! AYE!!

    • stevethird

      And Sarah herself has, on several occasions,  very pointedly and noticably held the door open for just such a possibility, and I believe she was thinking about 2016 when she said it (not 2012). Think of the herds of party honchos, bent on her distruction,  she could bypass with an artfully executed end-run.. Even if she didn’t actually do it, the possibility would give her tremendous leverage. If she is thinking of running it is essential that the idependent option is open and the GOPe knows it!

  • ZH100

    Excellent post!!  Thanks Devito.

     

  • train5959

    IT BROKE MY HEART WHEN SHE BACKED OUT THIS YEAR!

    • stevethird

      Mine too, train.
       

  • http://pulse.yahoo.com/_GNTC646T64CYO54I4SDUMDT3EM otto

    I have been thinking about this for a while now. This country is much like a drunk and it needs to hit bottom to begin coming up.

    Let Obama have his way. I truly believe that is the only way that this great Society (sic) will open their eyes to the gluttonus fool that he is .
    Like a drunk will not quit until he hits rock bottom.

    You can’t save those who do not want to be saved. You can take a horse to water but you can’t make him drink They will see soon enough that Obama is a charleton when they are parched….

    Soon enough to save this Country?…. Only God knows that.

    • Ralph Buttigieg

      You are dead right. Question is how bad will things need to get before change becomes possible? Britain had corpses literally rotting in the streets before they elect Thatcher.  

      ta

      Ralph

    • stevethird

      I understand what you are saying, and I totally agree.

  • DocBarry1

    well done – so when do you expect to hear from the Govenor – when will we know one way or the other if she is going to run in 2016?

    I believe that she would not tip her hand now but when should we expect a notice – one way or the other

    Please forward your response directly to Governor Palin and see if you can get a timeline for a decision from Gov Palin

    Again, thanks so much

  • CapitalG

    I think the media needs to be held accountable. Hollywood, the NY media centers – all of it. Organize protests at these places to put the focus on the media and pressure them to be fair and balanced.

    Conservatives need to step up and FIGHT! I can’t see these next 4 years being prosperous. Those who propped him up need to be reminded of what they created. Target the media like OWS targeted the ’1%’.

    • http://twitter.com/WSPISFA WSPISFA

      They won’t care, at all.  They HATE us.  Hit ‘em in the one area that counts, their pocketbooks.  Boycott every single one of their sponsors, don’t watch any TV show that trashes conservatives (esp. during May and Nov sweeps when ad rates are set), don’t go to any of their movies either.  Find non-consumerist forms of entertainment, it’s out there.  When the media starts to go bankrupt MAYBE they’ll get the message, or maybe Oblamer will give them a bailout with our money, but hey voting with our wallets could make a difference *shrugs*

  • http://profile.yahoo.com/XUIXVQ5MXO6QICEDXVCZOFLBOA Hansome

    The candidate with the most votes wins. Republicans will attract no new voters if RINOs like Rove, Krauthammer, Fred Barnes, George Will, Peggy Noonan and the other crypt-keepers at outlets such as National Review & Weekly Standard are perceived as voices of conservatism. Young people don’t want stale Pablum. They want inspirational leadership.

  • GrmaTX

    Instead of Rove, et.al. I would like to see Jedediah Bila, etc. being utilized more for analyzing the sense of the Republican/Independent/conservative base.  Instead of those old establishment shills…let these new young voices speak.  The Governor said someone running for office of President should be sought out by the people…enlisted to run…like George Washington was (do you remember that?  I think she said that in an interview with Beck looking out at the Statue of Liberty.)  SO, I commit to sending 20.16 each month to SARAHPAC until such a time as a presidential/campaign fund is started for/by her and then my meager contribution will go to that.  IMO my financial committment and sacrifice will be a message to her that I support her, her policies, and her leadership.  If she chooses or is willing to be drafted to run doesn’t matter to me.  If she runs, she has my financial, moral, and practical support.  If all of us who say we support her would give whatever we can consistently it would add up to amounts that will make people’s heads spin. AND, I am committed to register as an Independent the next time I am ready to vote.

    • TENCOLE

      Quit watching and quit putting so much weight on what these so-called "experts" have to say.

      Our new motto should be….."Who gives a crap what pundits have to say."

  • c4pfan

    I don’t think you get that a lot of conservatives didn’t vote, because of how they are treated by the party!  What is the point of making phone calls, etc when you don’t believe in the candidate?

  • qtdb7

    About attracting voters (men, women, asians, hispanics, etc.):
    If you tell the TRUTH, they will come.

    The TRUTH hurts. The TRUTH will set you free.
    The TRUTH will defeat Obama/democrats/liberals and RINOs.

    A lot of presidential candidates (Romney, Ryan, …)
    and other Republican politicians MISUSED the word CONSERVATIVE.
    Their records CONTRADICT their CONSERVATIVE messages.

    2016 will belong to us (Gov. Palin and We the People).

    It’s our time now.
     

    • http://www.solitudebooks.com/ Dan C

      And don’t be afraid to go into those communities. I don’t think Sarah would have a problem with going into the Hispanic community for example to share her message of freedom, opportunity, empowerment, energy independence, and low taxes. Her strong faith will help as well.

    • ZH100

       Who are "we the people"?

  • BostonBruin

    Thanks, Ron. Excellent advice.

    Your point about Romney closing the door on any significant voter fraud by conceding is huge in my mind. It’s hard to believe there wasn’t fraud, possibly enough to swing the election. But if Romney isn’t smart enough to see it and and willing to fight (like Allen West), then he’s not fit to be Commander In Chief.

    The next big move by Sarah will be whether or not she renews her contract with Fox. People in-the-know around here believe her contract expires this January. These contracts are usually renewed several months in advance, so the fact that we haven’t heard anything may be an indication that she is parting ways with them. We’ll find out soon enough.

    Then there’s the health and fitness book release which could be this spring with a book tour.

    I seriously doubt that Sarah will hide-away in Alaska and live happily every after. We know she seeks her Creator’s guidance in all she does, so stay tuned. As she said in her recent FB post – "hold tight … we’re in for a wild ride".

    Game on!

  • http://www.solitudebooks.com/ Dan C

    At the very least I sincerely hope Sarah Palin takes a long hard look at running in 2016. Convene some people and talk it out so if she decides to run there is a plan to complete against the GOPE and their money etc. I am sure she would run differently than others, but there still would have to be some things that have to be set up etc. I support her decision, whatever it is.

  • Gio54

    I have a message to all of us palinistas.  Moving forward we must and I emphasize on "MUST"  Stop listening to these so called pundits, talkin heads, the smarts. They don’t know anymore than we do. It has been proven time and time again "STOP IT". They operate on the premise that everyone and everything is relative. Humans are not that way, its a phylosophy not reality. Stay engaged on what’s going on inside the Gop.  They will try to do anything/everything they can to marginalize her again and do what they can to stop her .  They will spread lies. Example: her numbers are too low, she’s to divisive, Controversial, she’s not smart enough etc…you know what i mean.  They will say and do anything to convince us that she’s not our girl.  Their misssion together with the liberal media is to create doubt. We tend to forget that most of these people have worked or still work in AMERICA’s court system, they are LAWYERS. As the article say’s we can hope that she’s interested in running and not create these scenario’s in our heads out of thin air.  The decision is hers and hers alone.  Our job is to defend her from all attacks, stay enganged on what she’s doing and organize.  Convice our friends, families etc…talk to who ever wants to listen.  If there is one thing out of all things political Palin has taught me is that patience is key.  We must have that in abondance as Palinistas. 

  • bejocy

    Is building a new party even going to be legal, under this current administration?  A totally emboldened and idealogically based group, such as this, honors no laws. 

    I fervently support Sarah Palin.  I see her as the "American Spirit" personified.  I will never give up the dream of freedom.  Yet, I am a student of history, and I know how fragile freedom is.

    With the defeat of Romney, we have some real issues facing us.  Romney stated that he was opposed to ‘big government"…in the form of the NEA, FEMA and such, declaring that it was the duty of the States to provide those sorts of services.  He’s right on that, Constitutionally.

    Obama, on the other hand has proposed "core education".  Homeschooling will no longer be allowed, to the extent it now is.  There will be a ‘core’ curriculum, mandated by the federal government…controlling what is ‘stuffed’ into the heads of ALL children in the US.

    Romney asked people to donate food and other emergency items to help out the Sandy victims and was attacked by the LSM for doing so.  I believe the "pure love of Christ" manifests itself in charity.  When the government decides what you donate (via taxes) they are probably disallowing charity, because you can only give so much, and still not deny your family responsibilities.

    Elections matter. 

  • TENCOLE

    Disagree about Palin running needs to come from her……Palin has always been the type needing to be asked to the party. 

    • http://twitter.com/isleofyouth PhilipJames

       NO….  just so it is not wasted energy… Sarah has to indicate she is running for 2016 or it is stupid to start that bandwagon again. And can we agree that it is too early to start that sort of talk….  I think there will be some elections in 2014 that will be more important for Conservatives.

  • MaMcGriz

    Obama won…and now what?

    We turn into Argentina.

    • c4pfan

      More like Valenzuela.

  • GetWhatYouPayFor

    They won’t dare say her name on Fox News for a reason. Same reason they cancelled her on the VP speech night, at the RNC convention. Her contract will not be renewed for the same reason. Not her choice. Ailes has his marching orders. 

    • http://twitter.com/WSPISFA WSPISFA

      That’s okay they need Sarah more than Sarah needs them.  She’s got an endorsement record better than anyone on the right or the left, and her facebook and twitter to connect directly to the people…at least those of us open-minded enough to not listen to what the enemedia and the PDS haters say about her. 

      If Sarah wants to run in 2016 I would be all in for her campaign like I’ve never been for any candidate before, including my other fave Ronaldus Magnus.  But it is HER decision alone, as well as her family and her Creator as she makes all of her decisions.  I would give almost anything to see her as the 1st Woman POTUS (she certainly deserves it and would do a fantastic job), but after what she has been through I wouldn’t blame her if she turned her back on public life completely for a quiet life of happiness instead (she deserves that too).  :)

      America has to get to a point first where we deserve a President Sarah Palin (man oh man I love saying that); we’re not there yet, with RINOs in charge of the Repub party, and letting the DNC get away with massive voter fraud TWICE now.

  • independents4palin

    This is a very good chance to change things and turn things around, its going to be almost impossible to undue this mess and their will be more to come in the next four years.

  • carmtom13

    Thanks Ron for this excellent article. Just read an article at American Spectator New Reagan Conservatives, mentions Governor Palin as possibly running for president in 2016. The whole article is a good read.

  • lanahi

    I think we need a huge groundswell to push the idea of Sarah for 2016, and then she can decide what her response to that is. 
    I’m tired of those who say "Sarah must do"…this or that, as if they are planning her life for her.  But I do believe she needs to be invited and know that millions of us want her to run. 
    I think also that she does not want to be set up as our only hope for our country:  Not even Sarah can fulfill that demand.  We are putting a heavy burden on her shoulders that should stay on ours.  A leader cannot lead unless there are enough at her back who are ready to do the fighting.  We have to do our part and then some, not sit around and gripe about what she hasn’t done to come through for us or to passively wait for her as our "hope".
    Sometimes on here I have felt we are like children asking to be saved, insisting our leader do it all with maybe a little help from us.  This is a type of entitlement mentality too, waiting for someone else to do it for us.  We have to do better than that!  We are not children, we are ourselves a powerful force.  When we have shown that we are that force, our leader will appear to help us take it the rest of the way.  That’s what it means to be "grassroots".  We ourselves have to get the movement going, not her.

    Maybe it’s us she has been waiting for.

    I also think that her life and the life of her family will be in danger now that Obama has free reign. We have to pray continually for them.

    • AmazedOne1

      I have NO doubt whatsoever that Sarah knows that she has been (and continues to be) invited to run.

    • http://twitter.com/WSPISFA WSPISFA

      Beautiful!  Well said…

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